Both the B J P and Congress create a coalition of different castes. According to the exit polls of the Karnataka election, Congress may have the best chance of winning the election.
Reporting by Sandeep Shastri: The exit pool looks like a snapshot of a movie, which shows the different views, but the actual views conform after the vote counting. By this way, they generated a lot of interest, curiosity, debate, and reflection. Some of the exit polls show that the Congress is leading, while others confess that the B J P will get the majority of votes, basically based on India today (see my India exit poll).
When we talk about the exit poll, we need to know the ‘big story ‘of Karnataka that was indicated by the exit poll.
First, Karnataka looks like a big jigsaw puzzle that contains the key pieces of distinct regions, which are: Mysore, Bangalore, central Karnataka, Mumbai Karnataka, Hyderabad, and coastal Karnataka. This indicates that one single trend represents unique trends and results.
The second reason is that the exit poll indicates full focus on state-level issues after 1985, when no ruling party had secured a majority of seats. In an early election, if we take the fact that the exit polls work as a mirror of the final field, it is clear that it was a battle field in which voters were focused on what they expected from the government.
The third fact is that the poorer section of society was voting for Congress. while the middle section favored the B J P.
At last, both the B J P and Congress create a coalition of different castes, which indicates the more likely winning chance of Congress. It was total, based on merit of elaboration, that the B J P gained more votes in coastal Karnataka, but the chance of getting marginal votes in Karnataka is just like a Gujarat model.
Focus points
In central Karnataka, the B J P holds strong. The region of Yediyurappa, which hails continually Congress seats, has seen the B J P lead by 2 seats in the Hyderabad region, leading by a 3-fold division of seats. Mumbai, Karnataka, was the bastion of the B J P, which won 60% of the seats in this exit poll, a 2% rise in Congress votes.
The exit poll was the mirror image of the major reality of the election; it was an analysis, calculation, and speculation two days before the final results.
